#FOMCMeeting

Latest forecast: NO RATE CUT!

✅ The likelihood that the Fed will maintain the interest rate at 5.25–5.50% is almost certain.

✅ The market assesses the probability of keeping rates unchanged at ~99%.

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📉 Why is a rate cut not possible yet?

💥 Middle East tensions are driving oil prices up → inflation pressure.

🇨🇳 The US-China trade war is still unresolved.

📉 Economic data is unclear: inflation and employment remain complex.

🧠 The Fed needs more time before making significant changes.

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🗣️ What did Powell say?

Comments after the meeting are key. Investors expect Powell to hint at the possibility of a rate cut in September if inflation eases further.

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🎯 Conclusion:

⏰ Early morning on June 19, the Fed is likely to keep the interest rate unchanged.

✍️ A decision to cut rates may come in the fall, not now!

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📌 Don't miss the official announcement and press conference at 1:00 AM tomorrow