📰 Bitcoin & FOMC Meeting – June 2025 Update
🔍 Fast Facts:
FOMC Meeting took place June 17–18, with the Fed holding rates steady (4.25–4.50%) as widely expected .
Fed chair Powell noted they’ll monitor inflation and tariff effects but left policy unchanged .
Markets overwhelmingly priced in a pause (Polymarket >98%, CME FedWatch 99.9%) — so no surprises .
Key voice: focus shifts to Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) changes— not just rate cuts—for fresh liquidity .
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📉 Spot BTC Reaction:
BTC slipped to ~$104,300–104,600 before stabilizing near $105K+ post-announcement .
Press conference tone matters: with no rate cut, recovery depends on Powell’s remarks .
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📈 Longer-Term Outlook:
Historically, unchanged rates + liquidity hints (via SLR adjustments) can spark a ~25% rally — pattern suggests $130K+ BTC in Q3–Q4 .
CPI cool-down adds fuel: combined with policy patience, this supports momentum .
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💼 My Trade Plan:
Bought long around $104,500–105,000
TP (Take Profit): $115K–120K
SL (Stop Loss): $102K
Watching Wednesday press conference + SLR signals
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💬 Your move?
Holding through macro, scaling long, or sitting tight until we see SLR clarity? Comment below 👇
