$BTC #btc Here's a concise overview of Bitcoin's current status and near-term outlook (June 18, 2025):

### ⚡️ Price & Technicals

- **Current Price**: ~$106,000, facing resistance near **$108,000–$110,000** .

- **Key Levels**: Support at **$105,300** (demand zone), with a break below risking fall to **$103,070** (50-day EMA) or **$100,000** psychologically .

- **Indicators**: Mixed signals—RSI neutral-bearish (42.5), MACD bearish crossover, but institutional accumulation persists .

### 🌍 Catalysts

1. **FOMC Meeting (Today)**: Expected rate hold at **4.25%–4.50%**, but **dot plot** and Powell’s comments could drive volatility. Historically, BTC rallies post-FOMC statements .

2. **Geopolitical Tensions**: Iran-Israel conflict and Trump’s security meetings heighten risk-asset uncertainty .

3. **Institutional Demand**: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw **$408M inflows** Monday, with firms like Strategy adding **10,100 BTC** ($1.05B) . #BTC走势分析

### ⚖️ Outlook

- **Bullish Case**: Close above **$108,200** could retest ATH near **$112,000** .

- **Bearish Risk**: Escalating Middle East conflict or hawkish Fed pivot may trigger sell-offs. A drop below **$103,000** could liquidate **$702M in longs** . $BTC

Institutional accumulation and ETF flows provide a floor, but FOMC guidance and geopolitics remain swing factors.