Here’s a concise overview of how the Iran–Israel escalation is affecting crypto markets:

🌍 Geopolitical Shakeup & Crypto: Short‑Term & Mid‑Term Effects

📉 Initial Volatility & Sell‑Off

On June 13, Bitcoin dropped below $103K as markets sold off—crypto seen like other risky assets during geopolitical stress.

Ethereum and altcoins plunged 6–8%, with $1.2B liquidated in leveraged positions.

🛡 Partial Recovery & Resilience

BTC bounced back above $106K as de-escalation hopes emerged, and investors shrugged off fear.

Market sentiment shifted from Fear into Neutral/Greed, aided by continued flows into BTC ETFs.

⛽ Oil & Macro Ripple Effects

Oil prices spiked 7–11%, boosting inflation concerns. This pushed investors toward traditional safe-havens—dollar, gold, Treasuries .

Such inflation signals may influence central bank policies, indirectly shaping crypto sentiment .

⚠️ Ongoing Risk & Watchpoints

Crypto remains sensitive to new flare-ups—any escalation could trigger fresh sell-offs

But history shows these dips often recover within weeks—as sentiment stabilizes, so does crypto.

🔑 Summary Takeaways

Short‑term: Expect heightened volatility—sharp dips followed by rebounds.

Medium‑term: Mostly stable if conflict cools. Oil/inflation dynamics are key.

Longer‑term: Crypto has shown resilience; geopolitical events rarely derail the broader bull trend.