#FOMCMeeting

Expectation: The Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, with markets pricing a nearly 100% chance of no rate cut this week .

CME FedWatch: Signals stable policy through July, with the first likely rate reduction in September—about a 60–62% probability .

Dot‑plot outlook: FOMC’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) may shift from two rate cuts to just one in 2025 amid persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainty .