weekly timeframe, which gives us a strong macro perspective for a swing or long-term trade.
📊 Chart Summary (Weekly TF – BTC/USD)
Current Price: $105,443.90
Weekly High: $111,965.80
Key Weekly Support: $103,372, $89,068
Major Historical Demand Zones: $57K, $51K, $50K, $40K, $38K, $34K, etc.
Trend: Bullish (strong uptrend continuation after a breakout)
🔎 Technical Observations
Breakout Confirmed: BTC broke out from a descending triangle and continued upward.
Retest Successful: A clear pullback to the previous resistance (~$89K) now acting as support.
Volume: Increasing during bullish weeks — confirms buying pressure.
MA Support: Price is riding the 9-week EMA, typical of strong bull runs.
✅ Swing Trade Setup (Bullish Continuation Play)
🔹 Entry (Buy):
Buy on retest of $103,000–$104,000 zone
OR market buy a small portion now and DCA if price dips to that zone
🔹 Stop-Loss:
Below $89,000 (beneath last strong support)
Conservative: $98,000
Aggressive: $91,000
🔹 Targets:
TP1: $111,965 (recent high, partial take profit)
TP2: $120,000
TP3: $132,000–$135,000 (Fibonacci extension zone)
TP4 (cycle top estimate): $150,000+
🧠 Risk Management & Strategy
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
If entering now, be aware price is slightly overextended. Retest entries are safer.
Use trailing stop to lock in profits as BTC climbs.
🟡 Alternative (Bearish Scenario)**
If BTC fails to hold above $103,000 and closes a weekly candle below $100,000, expect a deeper retracement:
Potential support: $89,000 → $80,000 → $69,000