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#FOMCMeeting 🔥 **FOMC Meeting Recap: Rates on Hold, Eyes on Future Cuts** The Federal Reserve concluded its latest policy meeting by holding interest rates steady at **5.25%–5.50%**, marking the seventh consecutive pause. While inflation remains above target, Chair Jerome Powell expressed growing confidence in the disinflation trend, suggesting the possibility of policy easing later this year. ### 🔑 Key Takeaways: 1. **"Higher for Longer" Stays in Play:** The Fed is keeping rates at a 23-year high, awaiting “greater confidence” that inflation is sustainably heading toward its 2% goal. 2. **QT Taper Begins in July:** The Fed will **slow the pace of its balance sheet runoff**, reducing monthly Treasury roll-offs from \$60B to \$25B to ease liquidity pressures without ending quantitative tightening. 3. **Dovish Shift in Rate Projections:** The Fed’s updated **dot plot** now signals **one rate cut in 2024** (down from three) and **four cuts in 2025** (up from three), indicating cautious optimism. 4. **Inflation Shows Progress:** Powell noted "modest further progress" on inflation, especially in core goods, but stressed the need for continued improvement—particularly in services. 5. **Labor Market Remains Solid:** The job market is cooling gradually but remains resilient, giving the Fed room to wait before easing. ### 📊 Market Reaction: * **Equities:** Modest gains followed Powell’s dovish tone and the QT taper announcement. * **Bonds:** Treasury yields dipped, particularly in the 2–10 year range. * **Rate Expectations:** Markets now price in a **\~65% chance of a September rate cut**. ### 🔭 Outlook: The Fed remains data-dependent. A July rate cut is unlikely, but **September is now a live possibility**—contingent on upcoming inflation and labor market data. While patience is still the Fed's message, the path to a policy pivot is now clearly forming.

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