📉 Current Situation $BTC
RSI (6): 40.62 — oversold zones have already exited, but the strength is still weak
The green structure is forming a local rebound
Volumes: Active, but there is no significant dominance of buyers
🧠 What this indicates:
The price is in a consolidation phase after a sharp decline.
MA(7) and MA(25) — still bearish, but MA(7) is leveling out, which means a possible short-term change in momentum.
RSI confirms that the sellers' strength is weakening, but there is no clear signal for an upward trend.
📈 Forecast (for the next 2–6 hours):
🔸 Main scenario:
Consolidation in the range of $105,400–$106,000
A rebound to $106,200–106,400 is possible if buying volume increases
🔸 Less likely, but critical scenario:
Break below $105,400 and drop to $105,000–104,600
✅ Recommendations for traders:
Scalpers: opportunity to enter long on confirmation of $105,400 as support with a target of $106,200
Swing traders: better to wait for a breakout above MA(25) ($106,083)
Risky to short: as the decline is already exhausting momentum, a short squeeze is possible
🧭 Conclusion:
🎯 The market is seeking a point of equilibrium after a strong decline.
📊 There is currently no signal for a change in the global trend, but there is a chance for a local rebound
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