The U.S. Federal Reserve kept the key rate unchanged, but did so with tough rhetoric. What markets hoped for as a breath of fresh air — three rate cuts in 2025 — turned into just one.
📌 The signal is clear: high rates will remain for a long time.
🔍 What is currently happening in the U.S. economy?
🔺 Inflation is still above target — 2.4%
🔺 The labor market remains strong — unemployment is low
🔺 Oil prices are rising — this is a threat of a new inflation wave
➡️ All this gives the Fed reasons not to rush to ease policy.
📊 Market reaction:
💵 The dollar is rising, becoming more attractive
📉 Gold and cryptocurrencies have declined
📈 Bond yields are rising again
🗣️ Jerome Powell emphasized:
"We react to the data"
That is, any new macroeconomic report can change the game.
🗓️ FOMC: A decisive moment for the markets
Tomorrow is the key Fed meeting. Investors are holding their breath in anticipation.
🤔 What do bankers and traders think:
✅ Scenario No. 1 — Pause
The rate will remain unchanged — this is the basic expectation
📉 Scenario No. 2 — Decrease by 0.25%
Possible in the summer if the data is softer
🚫 Scenario No. 3 — Increase
The least likely option — only if inflation spikes upwards.
👀 But beware: markets are looking not just at the numbers, but also at Powell's intonations. His every word can move billions.
🎭 Political pressure
🧨 Trump is already pressuring the Fed through the media, hinting that rates need to be lowered
🎯 Preparing for elections, and "cheap money" is his trump card
🪙 What does this mean for cryptocurrencies?
📌 If the rate remains unchanged — $BTC will stay in a sideways trend
📈 If the rate is slightly lowered — a short pump is possible
📉 If it is suddenly raised — the crypto market could decline along with altcoins
🧠 How to act as a crypto investor:
⚙️ Stop-losses are a must, even if you have 'diamond hands'
🤫 Don't speculate at the highs — especially before Powell's statements
📺 Listen to the stream with the Fed chair's speech — he is a master of hints
🔎 Follow the data — not the numbers, but Powell's mood decides
✅ Conclusion:
FOMC is not just a technical decision about the rate.
This is a moment of truth for the markets.
This is a signal: is America ready to support risky assets or not?
📉 If Powell is tough — crypto will freeze in a flat
📈 If it hints at support — Bitcoin will smile, and altcoins will catch the wave
🧭 Keep your finger on the pulse. Global markets are at a turning point.
The coming days are decisive.