Emergency notice! The BTC long-short killing battle has entered a life-and-death moment
The middle track of the Bollinger Bands at 105,800 has turned into resistance, with 3 consecutive 4-hour candlesticks closing below it
Real MACD death cross: DIFF crosses below DEA to -182, short energy bars continue to expand
Main force conspiracy:
4,200 BTC sell orders accumulated at 105,500-105,800, accounting for 61% of the total market
The morning session surged to 106,900 with trading volume shrinking by 34% year-on-year, clearly a trap for inducement
[Today's news nuclear explosion point]
Middle East escalation: U.S. military double aircraft carrier enters the Persian Gulf, Iranian Revolutionary Guard announces 'highest readiness'
Fed betrayal: Brad speaks out 'no interest rate cuts in 2025' (Reuters 18:00 news)
On-chain anomaly: A whale transferred 9,200 BTC to Coinbase, valued at 970 million USD (VerifyChain data)
[Bloody market language]
The perpetual contract funding rate suddenly dropped to 0.0048%: down 68% compared to yesterday, leveraged longs are fleeing
Key killing zone 105,500: If it falls below, it will trigger the strong liquidation of 120 million USD long positions
Institutional withdrawal signal: ETF net outflow of 430 million USD in a single day
>>> Projected conclusion: Slashing to 102,000 within 72 hours
Core basis:
The technical aspect has formed a 'descending flag', with a measured target of 102,300
The Middle East black swan has been priced in at 70%, the Fed's hawkish stance far exceeds expectations
Whale transfers + ETF outflows create a resonance selling pressure
Personal operation suggestion:
Open a short position at the current price of 105,500, stop loss at 106,100, target 103,800→102,300
If it falls below 104,000, add a 3x leverage short position
#BTC走势分析 $BTC
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