#FOMCMeeting 🧠 I Spent Hours Digging Into Fed Policy — Here’s What I Found 📉

Everyone’s talking about rate cuts — but Wall Street doesn’t think they’re coming anytime soon, and here’s why 👇

📌 After analyzing economic reports, Fed statements, and tariff news, I found that:

✅ Inflation is cooling

✅ Consumer sentiment is up

✅ Unemployment is stable at 4.2%

Sounds perfect for a rate cut, right? But not so fast.

🚫 The Fed is on hold — and here’s what’s holding them back:

1️⃣ Uncertainty about H2 2025

Former Fed official Loretta Mester said: “Hard data looks good, but we don’t know how the second half of the year will go.”

2️⃣ Trump Tariffs = Inflation Risk

• 10% baseline tariffs still active

• China could face 55% tariffs

• Canada, Mexico, and autos are still under pressure

• Yale research says China’s effective tariff rate is ~33%

3️⃣ Fed Wants Clarity

Before cutting rates, the Fed wants to see how:

• Tariffs affect inflation

• Fiscal policies impact job growth

• Global trade stabilizes

🧠 My Take:

The Fed is walking a tightrope. Markets may want cuts, but policymakers don’t want to move too early. Volatility ahead is very likely.

📊 If you’re trading:

• Watch for macro news headlines

• Stay risk-managed

• Don’t over-leverage expecting an instant rate cut rally