#FOMCMeeting

The Fed is expected to hold rates steady at 4.25%-4.5% today, but all eyes are on the "dot plot" and Powell’s press conference for clues on 2025 rate cuts. Despite cooling inflation (core PCE ~2.5%) and a softening labor market (unemployment at 4.2%), tariffs remain a wildcard—potentially delaying cuts until September. Trump’s pressure for lower rates clashes with the Fed’s data-dependent stance. Key takeaways:

- "Dot plot": Will 2025 projections shift from 2 cuts?

- "Tariff impact": Temporary inflation spike or lasting drag?

- "Market risks": Dovish signals could weaken the dollar.

Neutral tone expected, but volatility likely.