#FOMCMeeting

All eyes on the Fed’s 2 PM EST decision – markets price a 98% hold, but the real fireworks will come from:

1️⃣ **Dot Plot Revisions**: 2025 rate projections (currently 4.1%) – any hawkish shift above 4.3% = risk-asset selloff.

2️⃣ **Balance Sheet Guidance**: QT taper signals could soften dollar strength → crypto tailwind.

3️⃣ **Powell’s Tone**: "Higher for longer" rhetoric would pressure altcoins; "data-dependent" = rally fuel.

**Pre-Market Moves**:

- BTC implied volatility spiked to 85% (June $100K-$110K options dominate)

- Traders hedge: 20% portfolio in stables, ETH put options at $5.2K

- VIX-BTC correlation hits 0.62 (highest since March)

**My Plan**:

No new entries until 30 mins post-announcement. Watching:

- **Bullish trigger**: Dovish dots + QT pause → buy $105K breakout

- **Bearish trap**: Hawkish revision → short squeeze below $104K support

High-impact events demand patience, not heroics. #FOMCMeeting