#FOMCMeeting #

## 🏦 When? And what will happen?

* The **Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)** meeting is scheduled for **June 17 and 18, 2025**, with the monetary policy decision to be announced at **2:00 PM New York time (6:00 PM Greenwich Mean Time)** on June 18, followed by a press conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

* The meeting will include an update on the committee's economic projections, known as the **"dot plot"**, which shows the expected path of interest rates.

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## 📊 Market Expectations

* Most economic analysts expect the **Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged** at this meeting, within the range of **4.25% – 4.50%**.

* Futures markets (CME FedWatch) indicate there is a **nearly 100% probability** that no changes will occur in June, while the first rate cut is expected in **September 2025**, with a probability of **60%** for that.

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## 🧭 Key Factors to Watch

1. **Inflation and Tariffs**

* Recent inflation data (CPI and PPI) came in below expectations, but **concerns over new tariffs** and trade tensions may affect the Fed's decisions.

2. **Labor Market**

* **The unemployment rate is around 4.2%**, with job growth continuing, which supports the Fed's position.