On June 13, 2025, Israel carried out massive strikes on specific sites in Iran (targeting nuclear-related facilities). They received the expected response. A conflict began, which has the potential to escalate into a full-scale war. How this factor affected the market and the world in general is discussed further...
#IranIsraelConflict
📉 Overall effect on the markets:
1. Oil and Gas:
📈 Brent and WTI rose by 7–12% after escalation — Iran and the Strait of Hormuz (through which 20% of the world's oil flows) — a key factor.
🚫 If Iran closes the Strait or strikes oil terminals in Saudi Arabia/UAE, the price of oil could soar to $120–150.
2. Stock Markets:
📉 S&P 500, NASDAQ are correcting — investors are fleeing from risk.
📦 Shares of defense companies (Raytheon, Lockheed Martin) and energy giants are rising.
3. Gold and Silver:
🪙 Rose to multi-year highs — traditional safe-haven assets.
🪙 HOW DOES IT AFFECT THE CRYPTO MARKET?
💹 Short-term:
Increase in volatility: Bitcoin and altcoins are moving in sharp jumps.
Bitcoin has risen amid fear — as 'digital gold', especially in Middle Eastern countries.
📈 Some privacy and decentralization-related altcoins (Monero, TON, Chainlink) have seen increased demand.
📉 But also:
When energy prices rise, it increases mining costs — especially for PoW coins (BTC, Kaspa, ETC).
Institutions are moving to cash during high geopolitical instability — this pressures market capitalization.
🔮 Medium- and long-term scenarios:
👉 If the conflict is limited to military sites and de-escalated:
Crypto may go up: Bitcoin again as 'protection against instability'.
Institutions will return, especially to ETH, BTC, SOL, AI tokens.
⚠️ If Iran uses missiles against Saudi Arabia, the UAE, or if Israel strikes Iran's nuclear facilities:
Financial shock — crypto will crash along with the stock market.
💸 Money will go to dollars, gold, bonds, not to risky assets.
📍 What should a crypto investor do?
✅ Hold a portion of stablecoins (USDT, USDC) in the portfolio — for flexibility.
✅ Use DCA — averaging during downturns.
🟡 Keep some in BTC as a protective asset.
❌ Avoid high leverage — sharp movements can liquidate positions.
🧠 Keep an eye on headlines: phrases like 'Israel struck a nuclear site', 'Hormuz is closed', 'The USA has intervened directly' can provoke an immediate dump.