Trump's 'Negotiation Trap': The Life-and-Death Game Behind Iran's Nuclear Card

#以色列伊朗冲突

As an observer of international events, I witnessed the 'olive branch' recently thrown by Trump's team to Iran. This letter, with a threat of a 'two-month deadline,' appears to be a diplomatic breakthrough, but in reality, it hides deeper intentions.

While Trump is trying to pull Putin in as a mediator, attempting to use Russia's influence to pressure Iran, he simultaneously backs it with a 'military option,' continuing his classic approach of 'maximum pressure.'

Iran's response is a strong textbook example: a ceasefire is a prerequisite for negotiations, and the right to enrich uranium is non-negotiable.

Behind this is Tehran's steadfastness in preserving its survival space—when American aircraft carriers approach the Persian Gulf and Israeli missiles destroy nuclear facilities, any compromise might be interpreted as weakness.

The essence of this game is Trump's political calculation to pave the way for the midterm elections. He attempts to gloss over the failure of sanctions against Iran with 'negotiation results,' yet overlooks that Iran has already broken the blockade through cooperation with China via the China-Iran railway.

When Chinese trains loaded with solar panels arrive in Tehran, and when Russia expands its influence in the Middle East, America's 'carrot and stick' approach is becoming an international joke.

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