China's selective issuance of rare earth export licenses to GM, Ford, and Stellantis—while excluding Tesla—has raised questions about whether the EV giant is being deliberately singled out. Key points include:

Rare Earth Export Restrictions: China dominates the global supply of critical heavy rare earth elements (REEs) and has tightened export controls, impacting Tesla’s ability to manufacture electric vehicles and its Optimus humanoid robots.

Effect on Tesla: Elon Musk has confirmed that the restrictions on rare earth magnets have directly affected Tesla’s production capabilities, especially for the Optimus robot, which depends on high-performance magnet-based motors.

Possible Motives: According to Dr. Gracelin Baskaran of Wells Fargo, Tesla may be facing targeted pressure due to Musk’s vocal positions on international issues and China’s strategic interest in bolstering its own domestic EV brands.

Global Supply Chain Concerns: The U.S. remains highly dependent on Chinese rare earth imports, and these new restrictions are causing concern about long-term supply stability for Western companies.

Outlook: Experts anticipate continued supply disruptions over the next 2–5 years as efforts to build rare earth processing capacity outside China move slowly. Many warn that current measures are temporary fixes rather than permanent solutions.

Recent Updates:

JL MAG Export Resumes: JL MAG Rare-Earth has received approval to resume shipments to the U.S., Europe, and Southeast Asia, offering short-term relief to automakers grappling with magnet shortages.

Trade Talks Ahead: U.S. officials are preparing to enter negotiations with China aimed at loosening export controls, which may ease the strain on Tesla and other impacted firms.

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