📈 WIN-RATE ANALYSIS BY MARKET SENTIMENT (FEAR & GREED INDEX)

Over 331 days of data (03 Jul 2024 → 28 May 2025), I matched our community’s daily win-rate with the Fear & Greed Index to measure trading performance under each sentiment.

👉 Fear – 45.07 %

👉 Extreme Fear – 44.57 %

👉 Neutral – 44.50 %

👉 Greed – 43.84 %

👉 Extreme Greed – 41.77 %

🔑 Quick takeaways

🔸 Fear delivers the best results—traders stay alert, pick cleaner signals, and cut losses fast.

🔸 Extreme Fear remains solid thanks to strict risk discipline.

🔸 Neutral offers balanced liquidity and opportunities for both short and long plays.

🔸 From Greed to Extreme Greed, win-rate drops sharply: euphoria → FOMO → bull traps.

🚩 Suggested tactics

▪️ Fear | Extreme Fear – Focus on short-term trades with clear R:R; accumulate confirmed reversal setups.

▪️ Neutral – A “safe lab” to scale size cautiously and fine-tune new systems.

▪️ Greed – Avoid FOMO; wait for pullbacks, use trailing stops, lock in quick profits.

▪️ Extreme Greed – Protect gains: slash leverage, be ready to flip direction—or sit out.

📌 Bottom line

Crowd psychology shapes performance. Track the Fear & Greed Index and adjust risk appetite accordingly—“rational fear” often beats “excessive greed”.

#TradingPsychology #RiskManagement #CryptoStrategy