🚨 Bitcoin derivatives-spot spread is unusually tight: what does it signal?
Currently, BTC perpetual contracts on exchanges like Binance, Bybit are trading $200–$300 above spot prices, the highest basis in weeks.
Funding rates are positive at 0.01–0.02% per 8 hours, indicating that leveraged longs are dominating, but have not yet crossed the FOMO threshold as in previous short squeezes.
📌 Noteworthy:
- Money flows into perp but spot is almost flat, indicating that the market is betting with borrowed capital instead of real capital.
- Divergence between derivatives and spot is often a sign that something is "coming" — either a big break, or a leverage reset.
👉 $BTC is entering a "big wind" zone with a gap between expectations and real money flows. When positive funding persists but the spot fails to pop, the market is often forced to choose sides — and the squeeze is what truly shapes the trend.