BTC Short-term Strategy: Is 107077 the starting point for a breakout or a trap for bulls?
Latest market analysis!
Bitcoin is currently stuck around 107077, repeatedly testing the area, with both bulls and bears waiting for a big move! At this position, it could either surge or crash, let me highlight the key points for you.
Key Turning Point
Bullish Scenario: If it holds above 107000, it will directly rush to 109800 (previous high neckline)
Bearish Scenario: Falling below 106300 will trigger a stop-loss wave, heading straight for 104500
Hidden Insights: The 4-hour MACD is consolidating above the zero line, indicating a high probability of a directional choice tonight.
My Monitoring Tips
1. Breakout Confirmation: If the 15-minute close holds above 107500, chase the upward move with a stop-loss at 106900 (false breakout reversal can be explosive)
2. False Drop Buying: If it sharply drops to the 105800-106000 range, be quick in and out when catching the falling knife (remember to set a stop-loss!)
3. Ultimate Warning: A sudden surge in volume breaking below 105000 invalidates all bullish strategies immediately!
High Win-rate Strategies
Place a breakout order at 107200, take profit at 109000 (catching the fattest segment of the fish)
Ambush long positions at 106000, with a stop-loss at 105500 (a 3:1 risk-reward ratio is reasonable)
Main Player Movement Alerts
Whale accounts on the exchange placed an order for 3000 BTC at 106500, but… (the complete strategy is not convenient to discuss here)
Note: Set a stop-loss! Set a stop-loss! Set a stop-loss!
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