In the crypto world, the combination of political IP + DeFi concepts never lacks heat, but when the Trump family's third project $WLFI enters the spotlight, we need to penetrate the haze of speculation and break down its underlying logic of 'token economics + circulation traps + speculative games'—

1. Project Essence: Financialization Experiment of Political IP

$WLFI is not a traditional DeFi project (with no core functions like lending, swapping, etc.), but a 'governance token bound to the Trump IP':

  • Token use: only for community voting (like deciding the direction of project cooperation), with no actual ecological support;

  • Issuer: related to the Trump family, but without official endorsement (essentially a 'IP leveraging' grassroots project, similar to the hype logic of the TRUMP Memecoin in 2024);

  • Historical origins: the first two 'Trump-related' projects (like TRUMP coin) both plummeted 80% after peak, essentially 'short-term speculative tools driven by political events'.

2. The 'Survivorship Bias' of Price Games

The trap of '13 times profit' in the original promotion hides three data tricks:

1. The 'Split Game' of Presale Prices

  • First round $0.015, second round $0.05, institutional price $0.1—seemingly a stepwise increase, but in fact a marketing technique of 'splitting circulation': early release of a small amount of tokens to create an increase, while subsequent massive circulation will directly crush the price (total supply 100 billion, if fully circulated, $0.2 corresponds to a market value of 20 billion, already exceeding UNI's current market value).

2. The 'Conceptual Swap' of Market Value Benchmarking

  • Claiming '$1 exceeds BNB' is completely wrong: BNB total supply is 165 million, $300 corresponds to a market value of 50 billion; WLFI total supply is 100 billion, $1 corresponds to a market value of 100 billion—price ≠ market value, circulation is the core (if only 25 billion in circulation, $1 market value is 25 billion, still lower than BNB).

3. The 'Traffic Attraction' Trick of Airdrops USD1

  • Getting airdrops for free is a typical 'Hook Marketing': using small rewards to attract retail investors while creating the illusion that 'the project party is generous', which actually paves the way for subsequent selling (refer to the script after the 2023 PEPE airdrop).

3. Core Risks: Triple Black Swan Warning

1. Political Uncertainty Risk

Trump's political status directly affects project value: if his political support rate declines (e.g., losing the election), $WLFI may instantly lose its speculative anchor—2024 TRUMP coin plummeted 75% after the election results, serving as a warning.

2. Circulation volume black box risk

'Fully circulated' or '25 billion circulation'? The project party has not clearly disclosed this, which means 'market value management can dump at any time': if the actual circulation is 10 times what is advertised (100 billion fully circulated), the current price of $0.2 could be instantly halved.

3. The risk of the 'pump and dump' in trading channels

  • Off-market WeChat group trading: no third-party guarantee, with the possibility of 'not transferring coins after buying' scams (OTC scam cases increased by 37% monthly in 2025);

  • Small exchanges (like XT): insufficient depth (buy-sell price spread exceeds 10%), and there is a historical precedent of 'project party controlling the market and then running away' (refer to the zeroing event of a small exchange after listing in 2024).

4. The 'Rational Game Strategy' of Speculators

If you must participate in this gamble, you need to strictly adhere to the iron rules of 'position + price + stop-loss':

1. Price Range: only touch the 'pressure release vacuum zone'

  • Off-market price $0.2 corresponds to a circulating market value (assuming 25 billion circulation) of 5 billion, within the 'early profit-taking + institution' turnover range, if it breaks through $0.3, be wary of selling pressure above the 10 billion market value (institutional cost $0.1, already 100% profit).

2. Position Control: Use 'entertainment funds' for speculation

  • Total position ≤ 5% (participate with funds you can afford to lose), to avoid affecting the main account;

  • Build positions in batches: build 30% at $0.15-0.18, add 30% at $0.12-0.15, keep the remaining 40% for breakthrough chasing (if it effectively stabilizes above $0.25).

3. Stop-loss settings: exit if it falls below the 'cost consensus zone'

  • Short-term stop-loss: $0.12 (early institutional cost line, falling below indicates institutional selling);

  • Long-term stop-loss: $0.08 (first round presale price, breaking it indicates bubble collapse).

Conclusion: The eternal logic of political IP coins

$WLFI is essentially a 'speculative target driven by political events', not a value investment product. In the crypto world, the name 'Trump' can create short-term excitement, but cannot support long-term market value—claims of 'hitting $47' are as absurd as the 2017 logic of calling BTC to 1 million.


For speculators: treat it as a 'lottery', not as an 'asset'; for conservative investors: stay away from this gamble, because real opportunities lie in projects with ecology and real implementation, not in the bubble of political IP.
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