Current situation (June 16, 2025):
- Price: ~$14–$15 (USD, based on current data).
- Context: LINK is the token of Chainlink, a decentralized oracle network that provides data for smart contracts in DeFi, NFT, and other blockchains (Ethereum, Solana, BNB Chain). Market capitalization: ~$9–$10 billion (ranked ~15–20). TVL in DeFi: ~$30 billion (leader among oracles).
Technical forecast for 2026:
- Prices:
- Optimistic: $30–$50 (growth of 100–250%) in a bull market and growth of DeFi.
- Neutral: $18–$30 (growth of 20–100%).
- Pessimistic: $8–$12 during market correction or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: $12–$13, $8–$10.
- Resistance: $16–$18, $25–$30.
- Trend: Bullish on weekly/monthly charts. RSI (~50–60) is neutral, 50/200 MA confirm bullish trend, consolidation possible (MACD weak).
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Leadership in Oracles: Chainlink CCIP (cross-chain interaction) and Data Feeds integrated into 200+ blockchains.
- Growth of DeFi and RWA: TVL in projects with LINK increased by 40% in 2024.
- Partnerships: SWIFT, Aave, Compound, BlackRock (tokenization of assets).
- Staking: v0.2 launched, APR ~4–6%, 50% LINK in staking.
- Institutional demand: potential ETFs, support from venture funds (a16z).
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify LINK as a security.
- Competition: Pyth Network, Band Protocol.
- Dependence on Ethereum (gas fees) and BTC/ETH trends.
- Volatility: token unlocks (~$200 million in 2025).
Recommendation:
- For investors: Buy on corrections to $12–$13, stop below $8. Target: $25–$30. Staking for passive income.
- For traders: Buy on breakout at $18, target $25–$30. Sell below $12, target $8–$10.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit, consider volatility.
Risks: Regulation, competition, decline of BTC/ETH, unlocks.
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