Déjà vu? 2025 mirrors 2021’s pattern
Winding up, the comparison of the Altcoin Season 2021 and 2025 showed one common thing after another, that is, a “double fakeout” slightly below the 1-month moving average, and then a powerful recovery.
Back then, this led to a multi-month altcoin rally.
In 2025, we’ve already seen two sharp wicks beneath $180 billion, both followed by recoveries. The structure is in place, but execution depends on what comes next.
Nevertheless, volume and macro were still absent in 2025. Should the strength gather towards $270B in overall altcoin cap, we may see a breakout.
Nevertheless, the inability to stay above the MA may reject the move. The configuration was in place, although it needed more support and utility-based flows to affirm it.
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