$BTC

Bitcoin MACD Technical Analysis Key Points

The MACD indicator is mainly used for trend judgment and buy/sell signal capture in Bitcoin trading, but it needs to be optimized in conjunction with the characteristics of the cryptocurrency market. Recently, the daily MACD for Bitcoin shows an increase in bearish momentum: DIF and DEA are expanding downward at a high position, approaching the zero axis, indicating that short-term downward momentum may continue. Pay attention to support levels at EMA30 ($103,500) and the lower Bollinger Band ($101,600). The four-hour MACD has continuously shown death crosses, with green bars increasing in volume, indicating pullback pressure; however, if key support is broken, it may trigger a larger decline.

Core Strategies:

1. Divergence Signals: Continuous divergence (e.g., MACD bars continuously shrinking while price reaches new highs) is a reversal signal; a top divergence needs to be combined with ATR stop-loss to prevent false breakout risks.

2. Parameter Optimization: Some traders adjust MACD parameters to 13 and 34 to enhance sensitivity to short-term fluctuations, combining this with the middle Bollinger Band ($106,400) to judge trend strength.

3. Multi-Indicator Resonance: Combining MACD with RSI (oversold area below 30) and narrowing Bollinger Bands can enhance signal reliability. For example, the probability of long positions is higher when MACD shows a golden cross + RSI rebounds from the bottom.

Risk Warning: The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and MACD golden crosses/death crosses need to be verified with trading volume to avoid chasing highs or bottom-fishing traps. Currently, Bitcoin is at a critical resistance level, and it is recommended to primarily short on rallies, while being cautious with longs at lows.