According to Coinbase’s analysis, there may be a significant rise in crypto asset prices in the second half of 2025. New economic policies and approaches to be implemented in the USA could play a decisive role in the markets. Experts recommend that investors closely follow these developments.

It is stated that in the second half of 2025, the price of Bitcoin could rise to $104,971.50, and an increase is generally expected in crypto assets. The monthly report prepared by David Duong, Head of Global Research at Coinbase, highlighted the growth potential of the US economy and macroeconomic developments. Previously, it was emphasized that concerns about recession were high, while it was stated that this risk has decreased recently.

Duong states that the crypto markets will see their bottom levels in the first half of 2025 and that it is likely to reach new records in the second half of the year. It is emphasized that the price movements observed in May did not change long-term targets. The emergence of market-friendly policies in the USA could increase risk appetite, and the new legal budget package is expected to be implemented by the end of summer.

As Duong stated: "A few months ago, we mentioned that the crypto markets would hit their lowest point in the first half of 2025 and break records in the second half of the year. Despite the rise in Bitcoin, this prediction still holds valid. The hardest phase of macroeconomic challenges is behind us."

Long-Term Risks and the US Bond Market

Duong draws attention to the fact that significant changes may occur in the interest rates of 10-30 year Treasury bonds due to the US spending plan. It is noted that long-term borrowing costs reached a twenty-year high in May. Rising bond yields may increase borrowing costs for companies and consumers, negatively impacting economic growth.

Duong says, "The rapid rise of long-term interest rates may trigger volatility in equity and credit markets and could cause investors to doubt the sustainability of US debt."

Alternative Assets and the Search for Safe Havens

It is emphasized that possible market fluctuations may create uncertainty in financial and credit markets, which could lead investors to value-preserving assets. Gold and Bitcoin are highlighted as prominent options due to their high liquidity and resilience.

According to Duong, "In such conditions, value-preserving instruments like gold and Bitcoin may be more advantageous compared to other alternative crypto assets."

General Assessment and Recommendations for Investors

Changes in investors' risk perception following fluctuations in the crypto markets can directly affect prices. The new budget policies of the USA may change market dynamics and support upward movements in the second half of the year. Experts recommend that investors be prepared for volatility and review their financial risks.

In the second half of 2025, US-based economic and political developments will be closely monitored. Bitcoin and similar store of value assets will continue to remain in the focus of investors during this process. The growth trend in the US economy, new budget packages, movements in bond yields, and investor behaviors will be key elements shaping crypto prices. Therefore, it is critically important to closely monitor market developments and adapt quickly to changes. Especially the need for liquidity and the search for security may increase demand for assets like Bitcoin.


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