#IsraelIranConflict Israel–Iran Conflict & the Crypto Shockwave

⚔️ Recent Escalation

On June 12–13, 2025, Israel launched targeted airstrikes on Iranian nuclear and military installations, including Natanz, reportedly killing high-ranking IRGC commanders and scientists

. Iran responded with drone and missile barrages—most intercepted—but global oil surged by 7–11%, gold edged up over 1%, and major stock futures dropped

💥 Immediate Crypto Market Repercussions

Bitcoin plunged ~6–7%, falling from ~$109 K to hit lows just above $102–103 K

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Ethereum dropped 7–9%, trading as low as $2,450

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lass pegging the total at $1.16 billion, FXStreet noting ~$446 million in BTC derivatives alone

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The total crypto market cap contracted by ~4%, shedding over $140 billion .

💡 Why Crypto Reacted like This

Risk-Off Sentiment: Geopolitical crises trigger flight from high-beta assets into safer havens such as fiat, gold, and Treasuries

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High Leverage Derivatives: The crypto market is heavily leveraged—sharp news-driven swings often result in mass liquidations of long and short positions .

Safe-Haven Debate: Bitcoin’s role as “digital gold” holds appeal in theory, but during this crisis it tracked like a risk asset, mirroring equities—not a haven

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🔍 Mid‑Term Patterns: Crash or Catalyst?

📈 Analysts Predict Potential Rebound

Dom Kwok, ex–Goldman Sachs analyst at EasyA, described the sell-off as a temporary dip, offering buying opportunities

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Alex Krüger calls it market noise, with similar market responses happening in 2024, urging caution on bottom-fishing $ETH