#以色列伊朗冲突 1. U.S. Regulatory Relaxation

The agency that regulates cryptocurrency in the U.S. is called the SEC. They used to always cause trouble for crypto companies, like suing Coinbase for selling 'unregistered securities' (which are cryptocurrencies). Now that Trump is in office, the SEC has a new leader, and the tide has turned! Those previous lawsuits that weren't considered fraud are likely to be dropped, and Coinbase's lawsuit is almost dismissed. Moreover, companies may be allowed to boldly hold crypto assets in the future. Although new regulations won't come out immediately, as long as people feel that regulation will be relaxed in the future, they will be willing to buy Bitcoin, and the price will naturally rise; if policy advancement doesn't go smoothly, the price will be in jeopardy.

2. Wars and Tariffs Stirring Things Up

Recently, Israel has been fighting Iran, causing oil prices to rise by 9%, and gold prices have soared to $3,400 per ounce, with global stock markets all declining. At this time, some people believe Bitcoin can serve as a safe haven, prompting them to buy quickly and drive the price up; however, if panic sets in and everyone frantically sells assets to escape, Bitcoin will also fall. Additionally, the U.S. is set to impose a 50% tariff on steel household appliances on June 23, which will affect global trade. If the economy worsens, fewer people will invest in Bitcoin, impacting its price as well.

3. Industry Movements Must Not Leak

If large holders like MicroStrategy continue to buy Bitcoin, market demand will increase, and the price will definitely rise. Furthermore, if more and more stores accept Bitcoin as payment, or if international transfers can use Bitcoin, then Bitcoin will become even more practical, leading to a higher number of buyers and naturally increasing the price.