$BTC

📉 Main events of the day (June 13, 2025)

1. Drop due to geopolitical tensions

– Bitcoin plummeted to around $103,000 USD following recent attacks by Israel on Iran, with an intraday drop of ~5% ).

– This also led to liquidations of over $1.1 billion in leveraged positions ).

2. Gold outperforms BTC

– While Bitcoin loses value, gold rises around 1%, reaffirming its position as a safe-haven asset and questioning BTC's role as “digital gold” .

3. Options expiration

– $3 billion in BTC options expire today. The “max pain” is at $107,000, which could intensify volatility .

4. Technical expectations and critical levels

– The price is around $104–105,000 with signs of technical weakness: vulnerable below the 200-period EMA (~$104,550) and possible declines towards support at $101–102,000 .

5. Institutional and regulatory outlook

– Although tensions impact the short term, institutional interest remains strong. Focus is on regulatory clarity (including Trump’s backing) and adoption by corporate treasuries ).

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🧭 Outlook and advice

Supports to consider:

$103,000–104,000: immediate level after the drop.

$101,000–102,000: key technical support (EMA200 + psychological zone). A break could trigger a larger correction.

Resistances / relevant levels:

$107,000 (options expiration zone).

$108,000–110,000 (previous resistance and significant fibo levels).

Possible scenarios:

⚠️ If tensions continue, we could see a drop towards $101,000.

✅ If the conflict calms, and BTC surpasses $105,000–107,000, there could be a rebound towards May highs ($110,000+).