Key Offensive and Defensive Conversions on the Daily Level of Bitcoin!!
The current market structure shows an intensifying tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with the daily framework revealing the following core observation points:
Key Threshold System
1. Bullish Counterattack Signal Zone
• 107,000-107,100 Area: A valid breakthrough and a stable daily close are needed to confirm the interruption of the downward trend.
• If achieved, the target may test the 115,000 level.
2. Bullish Defensive Buffer Zone
• 105,000-105,450 Range: There is technical resistance support present.
• If a daily engulfing bullish candle appears here, it could trigger a short-term rebound.
3. Psychological Defense Depth
• 100,020-101,300 Area: Encompasses the MA200 moving average and round number levels.
• A daily close below 102,800 will accelerate the testing of this defense line.
Market Evolution Simulation Model
• The current double top formation suppresses rebound potential.
• The daily bottom anchor has shifted down to 102,640.
• If the 105,000 support zone is breached, the MA200 testing process will begin.
Operator Observation Framework
1. Daily close above 107,100 → Short-term bearish momentum exhaustion.
2. Continuously pressured below 105,000 → Beware of sliding toward the 101,300 area.
3. Closing below 102,800 → Confirms the continuation of the downward channel.
The market is reconstructing the boundaries of bullish and bearish consensus through price fluctuations. In key psychological and technical intersection areas, close monitoring is required:
Large transaction platform fund flows
Extreme values of perpetual contract funding rates
Panic index and liquidation heatmap distribution
A real trend conversion must be accompanied by a volume-price resonance breakthrough. Until the daily clearly recovers 107,100, all rebounds should be viewed as technical corrections.
The primary task of professional traders is to identify the turning points of volume in chaos—this is the true moment of trend emergence.
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