$BTC 📆 Seasonal Patterns (BTC's "Seasons")
Historically, Bitcoin exhibits recurring seasonal cycles:
🔁 4-Year Halving Cycle (Major Driver)
Every 4 years, Bitcoin's block reward halves.
This creates a supply shock, often followed by a bull market within 12–18 months.
Key Halvings:
Nov 2012 → 2013 Bull Run
July 2016 → 2017 Bull Run
May 2020 → 2021 Bull Run
April 2024 → Likely 2025 Bull Run (currently unfolding)
📊 Annual Seasonality (Rough Trends)
Q1 (Jan–Mar): Often volatile; strong in bull years, weak in bear years.
Q2 (Apr–Jun): Historically bullish, esp. after halvings.
Q3 (Jul–Sep): Mixed. Some corrections, sometimes flat.
Q4 (Oct–Dec): Often bullish → e.g., late 2013, 2017, 2020.
