On the 'wire of 0.04657, bulls tiptoe to test, bears set up defenses! The 'mystery drama' of SOLV is only one step away from the end—will it break through and soar or fall into emptiness? Let's guide you to see through the market language!
Technical analysis dissection: Three tricks to see through the main force's bottom cards
Price dilemma: Seeking survival in the crevice
Top of the mountain: The 0.04715 marked by the yellow arrow is a strong resistance ceiling (previous high has failed multiple times), and current sell orders are piled up at 0.04700-0.04715 forming an 'iron plate formation'.
Stepping on a spring: The 0.04550 red line area becomes a key support, having rebounded immediately upon hitting this level in the last 3 days, like being equipped with a spring!
Current price mystery: 0.04657 is exactly stuck on the axis line—up 0.6% is the breakthrough point, down 1.2% is the ghost gate!
Main force gambling: The covert battle has intensified
委比-0.32%: The sell orders exceed buy orders by 3.2%, indicating that bears have a slight advantage, but the difference is weak (both bulls and bears are preparing big moves).
Psychological warfare of pending orders:
Sell orders ambush: There is hidden selling pressure above 0.04700 (not displayed but can be inferred), especially around 0.04715 there must be heavy troops.
Buy orders have multiple hiding spots: 0.04550-0.04600 buy orders are dense (like 0.04656 with 368 SOL orders), defense is more active than offense!
Trading reveals the truth:
Latest transactions are all fragmented (maximum 0.04657 × 87U), large orders are blank—whales are holding still, waiting for clear direction!
Technical indicators: Opportunities hidden in contradictions
Moving average arrangement: Short-term moving averages are golden cross upwards, but long-term moving averages are still pressing down—short-term rebounds are expected, but long-term pressure remains!
MACD underwater golden cross: small red columns appear below the zero axis, rebound momentum is building up.
The biggest hidden danger: shrinking trading volume! The volume of trading columns during rebounds is significantly shortened—no-volume rise = paper tiger!
Current status of news: Silent period = prelude to a trend change?
No major events: The project side has no upgrades/cooperation announcements recently, and no regulatory negative news.
Sector correlation focuses on two points:
Bitcoin barometer: If BTC stabilizes at 58000, altcoins will have breathing space;
DeFi sector trends: SOLV belongs to the DeFi concept, need to pay attention to whether the leaders UNI and AAVE stabilize.
Summary of news patterns: Silence often precedes the storm! The silent period is often a period for large funds to layout, and sudden good/bad news can easily trigger the market!
Market outlook: Two major scripts + response strategies
Script One: Breakthrough and take off (probability 40%)
Trigger conditions:
Breakthrough 0.04715 with volume (single 4-hour K-line volume ≥ 150% of yesterday);
Large transactions suddenly appear (buy orders over 100,000 dollars continuously sweep);
委比 turns positive (buy order thickness surpasses).
Target level: 0.04900 (breakthrough upper edge of channel).
Retail investor strategy:
Chase after a 5% position at the moment of breakthrough;
If it retraces to 0.04715 without breaking **increase position by 3%**.
Script Two: Retracement to accumulate strength (probability 60%)**
Warning signal:
0.04550 break and not recovered in 30 minutes;
Main force withdraws buy orders (large orders below 0.04600 suddenly disappear);
BTC falls below 57500.
Risk level: 0.04480 (previous low platform).
Retail investor strategy:
Stop loss at 0.04550 with half position;
If there is a large volume drop, liquidate and observe!
Three iron rules for safety
If the direction is unclear, hold back and observe:
Before breaking through 0.04715 or falling below 0.04550, control your hand and don't bet on direction!
Bottom-fishing, pay attention to two signals:
Volume long white candle engulfing the black line + large buy orders raid (both are indispensable).
Position control is the key point:
Current position ≤ 10%, adjust according to the strategy after a breakthrough/break.
The battle at 'the volcano' 0.04657 of SOLV, is it the bulls accumulating energy to soar through 0.0475? Or will the bears fight back to push it back to 0.045 or even deeper?
#加密市场回调
A little slip and you don't pay attention? Next time the opportunity slips away, your wallet will sing 'empty again'.
$SOLV