🚩 Bitcoin bounces back slightly after a sharp decline — What awaits ahead?
After dropping to the $102,600 range last night, Bitcoin is currently experiencing a slight technical rebound around $103,500 - $104,000. However, this does not necessarily mean a trend reversal, because:
🔎 1️⃣ Macroeconomic pressure remains:
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, U.S. - Iran, Israel... have yet to cool down.
Inflation data and FED interest rates are causing a risk-off sentiment to prevail.
🔎 2️⃣ Weak liquidity:
Current recovery volume is not very impressive, mainly driven by short-covering and short-term buying.
🔎 3️⃣ Nearby resistance levels:
The $104,800 - $105,500 area is currently the nearest technical resistance.
If it does not decisively break through, BTC may test support at $102,000 - $100,000.
🔎 4️⃣ New momentum from ETFs & institutions?
BTC spot ETFs still have cash flow but are starting to slow down.
Large institutions are waiting for a more stable signal to enter new positions.
⚠ Sentiment to prepare:
Be cautious of FOMO during the slight rebound.
The price range below $100k, if it returns, will be an attractive long-term opportunity for those who are patient.
Tight capital management if trading short-term.
📊 Short-term reference scenarios:
Break above $105,500: may test the $108k - $110k range.
Failure at $104k: revert to test $102k - $100k.
🔥 This is still a time to be more alert than hasty.