On the morning of #以色列伊朗冲突 , a cannon shot echoed in the Middle East, causing an instant crash in the cryptocurrency market!

Early this morning, Israel suddenly launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, and global risk aversion sentiment exploded. Bitcoin plummeted by $2000 in 15 minutes, and Ethereum fell below the $2500 mark. Over $1 billion in liquidations occurred across the network within 24 hours—most notably, a single user on Binance lost $200 million, making this a 'collective crematorium for leveraged players'.

Why does war affect the cryptocurrency market?

Geopolitical conflicts are like throwing a bomb into the market, causing funds to flee wildly towards gold and oil (gold prices soared to $3430, and oil prices surged by 6%). And what about the cryptocurrency market? It should be 'digital gold', yet it dropped alongside the US stock market. To put it simply, large funds only recognize 'true hedges' right now and do not believe altcoins can withstand risks. Additionally, with the previous market leverage fully pushed (BTC open contracts increased by 18% in a week), whales directly smashed the market to collect profits, and the retail investors had no chance to escape.

What about the future? Three scenarios can summarize it:

Optimistic scenario: If the US and Iran reach an agreement this weekend, BTC might touch $108,000, but don’t expect a V-shaped recovery; Neutral scenario: Both sides fire a few missiles but do not escalate the conflict, BTC hovers around $105,000; Pessimistic scenario: Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, BTC plummets below $90,000, so be prepared to catch falling knives.

Response:

In the short term, avoid high leverage! Keep some bullets ready for stabilization signals (for example, if USDT trading volume surges by 15%, it indicates that off-market funds are waiting for opportunities). In the long term, blockchain cross-border payments are expected to grow by 47% this year, and El Salvador continues to hoard cryptocurrencies. The crash could actually be a window for long-term positioning.

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