On the morning of #以色列伊朗冲突 , a cannon shot in the Middle East caused the cryptocurrency market to crash instantly! This early morning, Israel suddenly launched airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, igniting global risk aversion. Bitcoin plummeted by $2000 in 15 minutes, and Ethereum directly fell below the $2500 mark, with over $1 billion in liquidations across the network in 24 hours—most notably, a Binance user lost $200 million in a single transaction, making this a 'collective funeral for leveraged players'.

Why does war affect the cryptocurrency market? Geopolitical conflicts are like throwing a bomb into the market, causing funds to rush towards gold and oil (gold prices soared to $3430, oil prices jumped 6%). And what about the crypto market? It should have been the 'digital gold', but instead, it plummeted along with U.S. stocks. To put it simply, large funds currently only recognize 'true risk aversion' and do not believe that altcoins can withstand risks. Additionally, with the market leverage fully utilized (BTC open interest rose 18% in a week), whales directly crashed the market to harvest profits, leaving retail investors with no chance to escape.

What lies ahead? Three scenarios explained:

Optimistic scenario: If the U.S. and Iran reach an agreement this weekend, BTC could touch $108,000, but don’t expect a V-shaped recovery; Neutral scenario: Both sides exchange a few missiles but do not escalate the conflict, BTC fluctuates around $105,000; Pessimistic scenario: Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, BTC could drop below $90,000, so prepare bags to catch the blood tokens.

Response:

In the short term, avoid high leverage! Save your bullets and wait for stabilization signals (for example, a 15% surge in USDT trading volume indicates that off-market funds are waiting for opportunities). In the long term, blockchain cross-border payments will grow by 47% this year, and El Salvador is still crazily hoarding coins; the crash instead presents a long-term investment window.