📈 $XLM /USDT 1W – Macro Outlook: Retesting Long-Term Support Zone

📍 Current Price: $0.2690

🔄 Trading inside a long-range consolidation after the 2025 spike



🔍 Technical Breakdown:

MA(7): $0.2795 → Slight overhead pressure (near-term dynamic resistance)

MA(25): $0.3104 → Mid-range rejection point

MA(99): $0.1816 → Long-term support anchor holding strong

📊 Structure Notes:

Price failed to hold above $0.40 earlier this year, now coiling just below short-term MAs

Higher lows have been forming since the April low (~$0.18)

Volatility has compressed — triangle-like formation on weekly

🧠 What to Watch:

Break above $0.31 (MA25) with volume = potential macro rally toward $0.40–$0.46

Lose $0.25–$0.24 = back into $0.20–$0.18 long-term demand zone

💥 Volume is still lower than during the 2021 and 2025 rallies, but accumulation signs are emerging.

🎯 Swing Trade Idea (High Timeframe):

Entry: On weekly close above $0.31

Target: $0.38 → $0.44

Invalidation: Close below $0.24


XLM feels like a sleeping dragon — long consolidation often precedes large moves. If BTC holds, this could be a stealthy altcoin revival candidate. 👀


⚠️ DYOR – Do Your Own Research.

This is not financial advice. Markets can be volatile — always trade responsibly!