1. News-driven factors

  1. The liquid staking sector collectively explodes.
    Today, RPL leads the liquid staking sector with a +29% increase, followed by SSV (+16%) and LDO (+11%). This round of general rise directly reflects the market's revaluation of Ethereum staking derivatives, with core catalysts including:

  2. Strengthening fundamentals of staking economics.

    • After Ethereum's staking rate surpassed 45%, the growth has not slowed down; Rocket Pool, as the second-largest staking pool (8% market share), captures new flow.

2. Key breakthroughs in technical analysis.

  1. Breakthrough of key resistance triggers momentum trading.

    • RPL broke through the strong resistance level of $6.0 on the 6-hour K-line (which faced pressure at this position multiple times in May 2025), triggering algorithmic trading to follow suit and buy.

    • The daily RSI rose to 68, exiting the oversold zone, and the MACD histogram turned positive and expanded, establishing a short-term bullish trend.

  2. On-chain data verifies the movement of funds.

    • Whale profit-taking pressure eases: at the beginning of June, a certain address sold 38,000 RPL (worth 1.82 million USDT), causing a sudden price drop of 6%, but on-chain data shows that buying interest is concentrated in the $46-$50 range, forming new support.

    • Low liquidity amplifies volatility: Binance's 24-hour trading volume is below $1 million, and minimal buying can drive prices up, but beware of liquidity traps.

3. Future market direction projection.

🔴 Short-term (1-3 months)

  • Upside potential: if ETH stabilizes above $2,800 and the staking rate surpasses 50%, RPL is expected to test the $32-$38 range (institutional conservative target).

  • Downside risk: $6.0 turns into a support level; if it breaks, it may revisit $4.5 (April 2025 low), with stop-loss clusters around $5.8-$6.2.

  • Key focus: Monitor the progress of Ethereum's Cancun upgrade (Q3 2025) and the SEC's stance on staking token regulation.

The essence of the market is a probability game. Today's rise in RPL is due to the resonance of news and technical factors, but the liquid staking sector is still in its early stages, and the depth of the protocol's moat determines who will ultimately navigate the bull and bear markets. I am Big D, follow me for top team support and professional analysis of trends, only serving ambitious madmen.$RPL #RPL