🗓️ Date: June 11, 2025
💰 Current Price: $7.18 (+28.90% – extreme volatility)
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🔍 Key Metrics
24h Range: $5.51 – $7.77
Volume: 2.11M RPL / $14.55M USDT
EMAs:
EMA(7): $6.24
EMA(25): $5.56
EMA(99): $5.60
RSI(6): 77.73 (🚨 Overbought zone)
MACD: DIF: 0.40 | DEA: 0.23 | Histogram: +0.17
Volume: Surged above 5-day average → FOMO driven move
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📈 Technical Overview
📊 Trend:
Price is far above all EMAs = strong bullish momentum
EMA(7) > EMA(25) ≈ EMA(99) = trend confirmation
🚩 RSI at 77.73 = severely overbought → caution for pullback
📉 MACD flattening = momentum exhaustion starting
🔻 Support Zones:
$6.24 (EMA 7 – dynamic support)
$5.56–$5.60 (EMA 25/99 zone – strong base)
🔺 Resistance Zones:
$7.77 (24h high – likely top)
$7.97 (next resistance if breakout continues)
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🔮 Price Prediction
⏳ Short-Term (24–48 hrs):
✅ Bullish: Hold above $7.00 → Target $7.77 → $7.97
❌ Bearish: High probability of correction to $6.24 → $5.60
📅 Medium-Term (1 week):
🟢 Hold above $5.60 keeps uptrend alive → $8.00+ potential
🔻 Fall below $5.60 → sharp decline to $4.52 likely
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🧠 Trade Plan
🟥 Short Position (Primary Setup)
Entry: $7.18 or rejection near $7.77
Confirmation: RSI >75 + bearish candle (e.g., shooting star)
Targets: $6.24 → $5.60
Stop Loss: $7.85
🟩 Long Position (Only on Pullback)
Entry: $5.80–$5.60 (EMA 25/99 zone)
Confirmation: Bullish candle + RSI <50 recovery
Targets: $6.24 → $7.00
Stop Loss: $5.50
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🚫 Avoid
Long entries above $7.00 (poor risk/reward)
Buying into breakouts after parabolic spikes – false breakouts likely
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🛡️ Risk Management
Position size: ≤1% (due to volatility)
Risk:Reward = 1:3 minimum
Take profit in stages:
Shorts: 50% at $6.24, rest at $5.60
Longs: scale at $6.24 → $7.00
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⚙️ Key Triggers to Watch
❌ Bearish: RSI stays >75 + declining volume = reversal
✅ Bullish: Cool-off to $5.60 zone resets RSI for healthier rally
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✅ Summary
RPL/USDT is heavily overbought after a +28.9% spike:
🔻 Main Strategy: Short now ($7.18) or at $7.77 → Target $6.24–$5.60 (SL: $7.85)
🟢 Secondary Strategy: Buy deep dips at $5.60–$5.80 only (SL: $5.50)
❌ Avoid chasing highs – wait for cool-down before re-entry
📉 Exit all trades if price closes below $5.60 – trend shift risk!
🧯 High-risk asset → use small size & strict stops
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