Several rounds of cutting losses have made me understand a truth

I am going to express my own opinion again

As a beginner who has been in the circle for almost less than 4 months

Perhaps my analysis can serve as a counter-argument for you

Based on the overall news, I can conclude that the current upward momentum is still not exhausted. Following are several points of analysis, and I welcome comments from all teachers.

1: The Trump roundtable meeting announced that all newborns in the United States will receive $1,000 in stocks. This announcement can be said to have delayed the impact of some minor negative news, such as the California riots, on the US stock market.

2: The greed index of the bears is steadily increasing. The current situation is that every time a previous high is broken, there will be successive choices to come in and short the market. To put it simply in a way that fellow beginners can understand, my view on the long-short game is that going long means that the moment you place the order, you decide to pay for the subsequent decline, regardless of how low it drops. At the moment of closing, you will have to sell your contracts at the current low price, and the theory for going short is similar.

3: Returning to the main topic, why does the market rise more when there are more short sellers? In my opinion, the game between rising and falling depends on which side has more buyers. You can understand that currently the number of bears willing to take over is obviously greater than that of the bulls, which means that whoever seizes the opportunity to take over will benefit from the market. It is evident that every round of shorting has won, successfully seizing the opportunity to take over, so theoretically speaking, the bears have won.

Comment: So when can the bulls seize the opportunity to take over? I think it will at least take a long period of rising. When it reaches a certain height, and the bears are too afraid to take over, then it will start to fall. I think it will rise slowly, then gradually break through 2850, 2998, and perhaps 3000 will not break in the short term. Perhaps if it breaks 3000, some people will look for 4000. When the panic level of the bears reaches its peak, it will fall. Short sellers can observe temporarily because now, when you have to choose between going long or short, you cannot overcome your inner fear to go long. Often, the orders that make you fearful are the correct market movements. When you are very afraid to short, it will fall.