The prediction is a probability, the investment is an expectation, but don't forget the odds! ❤️

Prediction Probability: What is the probability of this investment 'possibly making a profit'? You need to have some expectations in mind.

Investment Expectation: This combines the odds of winning and the possible returns, calculating 'on average, is it worth betting?'.

The most crucial thing is not to forget the odds, which is more important than the previous two steps! That is, 'if you win, how much can you earn, and if you lose, how much will you lose? Calculate whether this investment is worth it or not.'

Just thinking about the 'possible profit' is not enough; you also need to calculate 'the probability of profit, and whether it's worth taking this risk'. It's like buying milk tea; just looking at 'it might be delicious' (probability) and thinking 'the taste is good' (expectation) is not enough; the key is to look at the price (odds) — for example, spending 30 yuan for a cup 'just for the expectation that it might be delicious', do you think it's worth it? Can you accept it if it's not delicious!

You need to think clearly through all three steps to make investments more solid. Don't forget, good opportunities depend not only on 'being able to win' but also on 'winning enough, but losing limited'!