Tonight's Bitcoin Life-and-Death Game: The Dealer's Scythe is Hanging Over Retail Investors

1. The Bull-Bear Showdown Enters a Fever Pitch

Currently, BTC is stuck at $105,400, resembling the calm before the storm. According to on-chain data, there is a pile of short stop-loss orders worth $2.8 billion in the $106,100-$106,600 range. This area is a bull-bear meat grinder — the dealer will either violently blow up the shorts or lure in the bulls before smashing the market. I bet on the latter!

2. Why I Am Betting on a Crash Scenario

Technical Deadlock: The trading volume above $105k continues to shrink, the MACD energy bar turns negative, and the RSI shows clear divergence at the top; it's ten times harder to rise than to fall from this position.

Liquidity Trap: The dealer loves to “paint the door” at key positions, first falsely breaking $106k to attract buyers, then instantly crashing through $104k to explode the long positions; harvesting $15 billion within 24 hours is not a dream.

History Repeats: The flash crash from $105k to $101k on June 5 was a rehearsal for the dealer to test market panic levels; this time the script will be even harsher.

3. My Shorting Strategy

Deploying bombs in three batches: First Shot: Short 3% of my position at the current price of $105,400. Second Shot: Add to the position at $106,100. Third Shot: Go all in at $106,600.

Stop Loss Set at the Ceiling: $107,500, accepting a loss of 1,300 points.

Three Hit Harvest: First Target $104,500, Second Target $103,200, Ultimate Blowout $101,400.

4. Life-and-Death Line Warning

Keep a close eye on $106,300 tonight: If the hourly trading volume breaks $8 billion and holds, immediately close shorts and go long. If there's no movement before 10 AM tomorrow: Reduce positions by 50% and wait for weekly direction confirmation.

Crash Signal: If the ETH/BTC exchange rate falls below 0.0235, the big coins will start a bloodsucking trend, allowing short positions to survive.

5. Advice for Stubborn Bulls

Don’t be fooled by the nonsense that “sideways trading is accumulation”! Look at on-chain data — whale addresses have net flowed out 28,000 BTC in the past three days; these people are secretly running away. Remember: The tops of bull markets are bought by retail investors, while the bottoms of bear markets are smashed by institutions.

As the market continues to change, we must closely monitor market signals and seize new entry opportunities. Like + comment, and let’s navigate the bull market together to seize this great opportunity!