$BTC

📉 Market Overview

Current Price: Approximately $106,325, Today's Fluctuation Range $105,110–$106,365

Short-Term Correction: A drop of about 7% from the historical high of $111,800 on May 22, adjusting to the $104,000 range, which is a technically healthy correction.

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🔍 Technical Analysis

Head and Shoulders Structure: After the drop from the high, rebounded to $106K, still observing whether it can break free from the bearish pattern.

RSI Divergence: A bearish divergence signal appears, if it falls below $100,800, there is a chance to test $91,000.

Golden Cross: The 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, signaling bullish momentum, historically has brought over 50% increase, looking at $150K by the end of the year.

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📊 Key Support and Resistance

Support Levels: $104K, $100K (psychological support), $95.5K

Resistance Levels: $106K–$110K, after breaking through will have a chance to challenge $120K–$125K

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🌐 Market Sentiment and Capital Flow

Fear and Greed Index: 50–60, sentiment neutral to cautious

Whale Dynamics: On-chain data shows long-term holders continue to accumulate, institutional funds continuously flow in through channels like ETFs.

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🎯 Possible Trends

Scenario Description

Upward Breakthrough

If it effectively breaks through $110K, expected to challenge $120K–$125K, even $150K–$200K.

Break Support

If it breaks below $100K, it may quickly test the $91K–$95K range.

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✅ Suggested Strategies

1. Observe Key Ranges: $104K–$110K as the key short-term range.

2. Follow the Trend: After the golden cross, can gradually enter the market, but still need to set stop losses.

3. Hedging: During volatility periods, consider using derivatives for hedging.

4. Pay Attention to Macroeconomic Variables: Interest rate changes, ETF capital flows, etc. are important influencing factors.