【Polymarket predicts the probability of "Musk creating a new political party within this year" is currently reported at 16%】According to official data, the probability of "Musk creating a new political party within this year" on Polymarket is reported at 16%, while the probability of "Musk creating a new political party by the end of June" is reported at 5%.

These two probabilities have decreased by 5% and 2% respectively compared to yesterday.