Current situation (June 8, 2025):
- Price: ~$0.0020–$0.0022 (USD, based on current data).
- Context: HMSTR is the token of the GameFi project Hamster Kombat, launched on Telegram in 2024. It is a clicker game with a play-to-earn mechanic, integrated with TON (The Open Network). Market capitalization: ~$130–$150 million (ranking ~200–300). The price has dropped 60–70% from ATH ($0.01195, September 2024), but shows signs of recovery.
Technical forecast for 2026:
- Prices (based on analytics):
- Optimistic: $0.011–$0.0514 (growth of 400–2300%) in a bull market, integration with TON, and success of GameFi.
- Neutral: $0.003–$0.012 (growth of 50–500%).
- Pessimistic: $0.001–$0.0018 during correction or decrease in interest in the game.
- Levels:
- Support: $0.0018–$0.0020, $0.001–$0.0015.
- Resistance: $0.0026–$0.003, $0.006–$0.01.
- Trend: Mixed. The daily chart shows a bullish sentiment (RSI ~60–70, neutral-bullish; 50 MA up), but the 200 MA is down, indicating a weak long-term trend. A reversal is possible on breakout at $0.0026.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Growth of GameFi and Telegram mini-apps: 300 million players in 2024, despite a drop in active users from 31 million to <1 million.
- Integration with TON: $400 million investment in the network from Sequoia, Benchmark, and others.[
- Airdrops and P2E mechanics stimulate engagement.
- Potential halving effect of BTC 2024, supporting altcoins.
- Partnerships (LayerZero, Binance) and launch of Season 2.
- Risks:
- Regulatory constraints: SEC, MiCA, criticism in Iran for distraction.
- Decreased interest: low player retention, competition from Notcoin, DOGS.
- Volatility: token unlocks and whale sales.
- Negative perception: accusations of manipulation and doubts about origin (connection with Russian businessmen).
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on correction down to $0.0018–$0.0020, stop below $0.001. Target: $0.006–$0.01.
- Traders: Buy on breakout at $0.0026, target $0.004–$0.006. Sell below $0.0018, target $0.001–$0.0015.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit, consider high volatility.
Risks: Regulation, competition, decreased player activity, falling BTC.