BTC weekly chart shows a bearish MACD divergence from 2021, with a predicted drop of over 50%. The main force has repeatedly distributed in the 106000-110000 area. The current rebound is a B-wave rebound, reaching around 106000, followed by a larger C-wave decline. The short position for BTC can be set at 105900, and for ETH at 2544. The current strategy is to accumulate and short at high points. There will be a significant drop this month, expected around the 20th.