$BTC Direction: Buy on Dips

Core Logic:

The long-term trend (1 day) remains bullish, the 4-hour cloud support is effective, and the 15-minute lower shadow shows strong buying pressure. However, insufficient volume requires waiting for a pullback to enter.

Specific Plan:

Entry Price: 103,900

Near the 4-hour support at 103,811.0 + the 30-minute EMA21 (104,323.7) resonance zone.

About 0.63% space from the current price of 104,553, meeting the 0.2% differential requirement.

Target Price: 105,000 (+1.06%)

Corresponding to the 1-day high of 105,320.4 and the 30-minute turtle buy entry price of 104,931.5.

Potential Profit Space: 1.06%.

Stop Loss: 103,500 (-0.38%)

Located 0.3% below the 4-hour low of 103,811 to avoid being swept out during fluctuations.

Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.8 (reasonable profit-loss ratio).

Risk Control Measures:

Position Management: ≤5% of total funds to avoid ETF capital flow volatility risk.

Signal Verification:

If the 30-minute MACD golden cross (0.0→1.0) or BB lower band contact (0.0→1.0), increase position by 5%.

If an hourly crash warning (1.0) is triggered, close positions and observe.

Time Window: Hold positions ≤4 hours to avoid fluctuations at the US market open.

Alternative Strategy (Short):

If the price breaks below 103,500:

Short Entry: 103,400, Target 102,500 (Fib 61.8%), Stop Loss 104,000.

Trigger Conditions: 4-hour SAR reversal (0.0→1.0) or TD sequence bearish 9 turns.

Technical aspects are for reference only, based on predictions.