### Price volatility in the last 24 hours
Based on K-line data, BTC has undergone the following fluctuations:
- Session 00:00: Opened at 105,092.01 USDT and closed at 104,244.44 USDT (down 0.81%)
- Session 04:00: Opened at 104,217.59 USDT and closed at 104,293.86 USDT (up 0.07%)
- Session 08:00: Opened at 104,294.61 USDT and closed at 104,563.55 USDT (up 0.26%)
### Detailed candlestick patterns
- Session 00:00: Red candle with a short upper shadow, indicating strong selling pressure
- Session 04:00: Small green candle (Doji) showing market hesitation
- Session 08:00: Green candle with a longer body, long lower shadow, indicating buying power is returning
### Detailed trading volume analysis
- Trading volume dropped sharply from 105.88 BTC (session 00:00) to 18.14 BTC (session 08:00)
- Volume/price volatility ratio:
- Session 00:00: 105.88 BTC / 847.69 USDT = 0.125 BTC/USDT
- Session 04:00: 53.16 BTC / 453.26 USDT = 0.117 BTC/USDT
- Session 08:00: 18.14 BTC / 682.91 USDT = 0.027 BTC/USDT
- Volume efficiency is decreasing, more volume needed to confirm the uptrend
### Multi-timeframe technical analysis
1. 4-hour frame: Sideways trend with a fluctuation range of about 1,200 USDT
2. 8-hour frame: A slight recovery signal appears after the drop
3. 24-hour frame: Still maintaining in the price range of 104,000 - 105,300 USDT
### Key price levels (detailed)
- Strong support: 103,880.64 USDT (recent low)
- Average support: 104,059.64 USDT (low of the session 00:00)
- Weak support: 104,171.75 USDT (low of the session 04:00)
- Weak resistance: 104,625.01 USDT (high of the session 04:00)
- Average resistance: 104,563.55 USDT (current closing price)
- Strong resistance: 105,283.33 USDT (highest in 24 hours)
## Technical indicator analysis (based on data)
### 1. Bollinger Bands (estimated)
- Price is trading close to the middle band of Bollinger Bands
- Upper band: ~105,300 USDT
- Middle band: ~104,400 USDT
- Lower band: ~103,500 USDT
- Band width is narrowing, signaling a potential price breakout soon
### 2. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- RSI estimated at average (~50), not overbought or oversold
- RSI momentum is slightly increasing in the latest session
### 3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
- MACD is showing weak bullish divergence signals
- The MACD line is crossing above the signal line, creating a slight buy signal
## Detailed trading strategy
### Buy order strategy
1. Optimal entry point:
- Buy when the price retests the range of 104,170 - 104,200 USDT
- Buy when price exceeds 104,625 USDT with strong volume (>30 BTC/hour)
2. Position management:
- Split orders into 3 parts: 30% at the first entry point, 40% when confirming the trend, 30% when price breaks resistance
- Consider low leverage (1-2x) during this accumulation phase
3. Detailed profit targets:
- Target 1: 104,800 USDT (+0.3%) - close 30% of position
- Target 2: 105,100 USDT (+0.6%) - close 40% of position
- Target 3: 105,300 USDT (+0.8%) - close 20% of position
- Target 4: Hold the remaining 10% to catch new upward waves if any
4. Risk management:
- Cut losses if the price breaks below 103,880 USDT
- Partially cut losses if the price drops below 104,000 USDT
- Total risk level should not exceed 1.5% of total capital
### Sell order strategy
1. Optimal entry point:
- Sell when the price approaches the range of 105,200 - 105,300 USDT and shows signs of rejection
- Sell when the price breaks the support level of 104,000 USDT with high volume
2. Detailed profit targets:
- Target 1: 104,200 USDT (-1.0%) - close 40% of position
- Target 2: 103,900 USDT (-1.3%) - close 40% of position
- Target 3: 103,500 USDT (-1.7%) - close 20% of position
## Factors to watch in the next 24 hours
1. Accumulation Volume Index (OBV):
- If OBV increases while price moves sideways = good accumulation signal
- If OBV decreases while price moves sideways = potential weakening warning
2. Reactions at key price levels:
- Monitor price reaction at levels 104,625 USDT and 103,880 USDT
- Pay attention to trading volume when price hits these levels
3. Trading volume volatility:
- Sudden increase >50 BTC/hour is a signal confirming a new trend
- Low volume (<15 BTC/hour) indicates the market is waiting
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