#特朗普马斯克分歧 $BTC Recently, too many people have been messaging me, mainly about the contract issues I've been emphasizing. Some ask why they always get liquidated, some ask why they always hit stop-losses, others ask why they consistently incur losses every month, and some have been in the crypto space for two years only knowing how to buy USDT without knowing how to sell it, because they have never sold it. There are also those who are stuck and need to break free! What is the market maker mentality! There are too many questions, and I personally think it's necessary to create a post to systematically discuss this! If you have similar questions, you can continue reading! If not, just scroll past to avoid wasting time; after all, time is truly precious!

First of all, existence is reasonable and useful. It's like fishing; you can catch fish even if you know nothing, but only occasionally. Even if you understand everything, you may not catch fish every time. However, when you encounter the same fishing conditions, those with skills will definitely catch more than those without skills. Any technique is just something that someone has used before, which was likely correct at that time or during a certain period! Things like wave theory, box theory, cycle theory, patterns, support and resistance levels, etc., and any news that seems favorable or unfavorable are all just illusions. Trading is not like doing a problem set with a standard answer; 1+1=2 is certain! Personally, I think the most genuine aspect of trading is market information—how much real money is buying or selling at this moment. But that's only at this moment; the next moment is just a large probability! Now, let's get to the main topic!

Because trading is not an absolute money game, the only correct choice to avoid liquidation is to never engage in trades that could lead to liquidation. Never create strategies that could lead you to liquidation, because no one can always accurately predict market movements. Many friends say they just watch it rise or fall, wanting to follow the trend, and often they can profit, but they also face being stuck as soon as they enter, thinking it will recover. When losses accumulate, they add to their positions, eventually leading to having no positions left to add, no resources to resist, and ultimately facing liquidation. If you don't have a personal trading strategy, I might be like most people because that's human nature; it's like wanting to take a piece of meat but then being reluctant to cut losses when stuck. In fact, you think you've only made one trade, but strictly speaking, every addition, reduction, locking, and closing is also a trade, or every thought and decision is a trade. This is an emotional trading that everyone experiences. Avoiding emotional trading is the key to preventing liquidation and the first step to stable profits. As long as you think about where to set the stop-loss and take-profit before making decisions, that's a complete trade! If you can't avoid emotional trading, just place limit orders and set stop-loss and take-profit beforehand. If you don’t know where to set stop-loss and take-profit, my advice is to stop trading immediately if you have insider information. If you don't know how to build your trading system, you can refer to previous articles!

When trading, just set stop-losses. If you already have your own trading strategy with stop-losses and take-profits but still can't make a profit and keep hitting stop-losses, then congratulations, you're doing well but just have some flaws. You only need to optimize your trading strategy and execute it again according to the plan. How to optimize is a technical issue, or perhaps your leverage is too high and you're worried about large losses, so you set your stop-loss too low, or maybe your entry point isn't very accurate, leading to losses. Or, you simply don't know how to read the entry points, only knowing to enter with a stop-loss, or your stop-loss is small but your take-profit is too large, causing losses when you don't reach the take-profit after backtesting, etc. All these need improvement. A complete trading strategy has never been simple; you must overcome human nature, control your emotions, learn the basics of technology, and, combined with long-term market training and continuous improvement of your trading system, you can survive in the market and achieve stable compounding! Everything else is just noise; it's merely floating profit!

Regarding whether trading is metaphysical, gambling, or technical, or if it involves insider information or major market trends, I believe it encompasses all of these. In general, it follows the trend. If you understand the technique, that's the simplest level. The technical aspect is not difficult to learn, unless you don't love trading and haven't thought about long-term survival in the market—just coming to try your luck to prove your talent. Then let me be clear: you don't need to prove anything. A person who doesn't love to learn, even if they have some talent, is just a little fantasy. As for whether trading is gambling, I believe as long as there is uncertainty, there is a gambling element. Trading is like fishing; it requires skill and a bit of luck, and it's more like a competitive game. If you know nothing, then it's gambling; if you know more, it can only be said that I acknowledge there is a gambling element, but that's it! As for whether it’s metaphysical, let's say simply: believers have it, non-believers don’t. The only thing that can be related to metaphysics might just be market trends. What does this mean? Perhaps when you entered the crypto space, the sky was still blue, the water was still clear, and people were still kind. You just needed to buy and hold until now to sell! Maybe in the first 20 years, you were unlucky and didn’t meet any benefactors to enter this circle, or maybe you were born at the wrong time and were not destined for wealth, or perhaps you encountered nothing but hardships without any future blessings. It’s like buying and then going to study further, in short, it has been so unfortunate! In fact, strong people never complain about the unfairness of fate; opportunities are not always reserved for those who are prepared, but strong individuals understand how to create opportunities!

Market maker mentality—I'm not sure if any friends have heard of this, but generally speaking, it's about following the market makers. Simply put, we know that market making profits by attacking liquidity. When you understand this, you might not follow them correctly because you'll never outsmart them. However, before making a trade, you can consider incorporating a strategy, such as why important support and resistance levels often show false breakouts. So, at important support and resistance levels, isn't it a high probability with a small stop-loss and large profit to engage with this false breakout? This is just a way of thinking! For example, regarding the recent bearish positions on Bitcoin! 110,000 is the most important resistance level that was reached three times without breaking, and the last false breakout was at 111,963, two thousand points. Personally, I entered a short at 111,900 using the market maker thinking to catch the false breakout! Of course, if I'm wrong, I set a stop-loss. I've said before that you must embrace stop-losses. The financial market is the only place that can turn ideas into real money; no other industry can do this, even if your ideas are mere fantasies. Sometimes they can turn into real money. The more you learn, understand, and realize, the more valuable your ideas become. Not exaggerating, I can say my ideas are worth ten USDT now. Isn't that a bit pitiful to say? Later, I asked a fan, and their reply amazed me. They said, "Bro, in my heart, you're worth going all in for," not because they don't trust you, but because of the last ten USDT. I laughed and replied, "Next time, just don't go all in with so much; 1 USDT will do." Because at any time, no one is worth going all in on. You need to develop a good habit of controlling your position size! Haha! Although it's a joke, I'm seriously advising you! Even if you only have 10 USDT or 100 USDT, you still need to control your position size and build your own trading strategy, constantly improving it. Only then can you possibly profit. The simplest trading is to set up your orders, set take-profit and stop-loss, and control your position size with your capital. Live your life, eat when you need to eat, sleep when you need to sleep, and there's no need to stay up late watching the market for long periods. Because it doesn't matter if you stay up late and work hard, watching prices rise or fall; they won't listen to you. You will incur losses if you're meant to lose, and there's nothing you can do about it. Of course, if you're trying to break even or scalp in the short term, then there's no choice but to monitor the market until your trading signals appear for entry. This trading method is indeed quite exhausting. If you're not a full-time trader, there's no need to do this; swing trading and trend trading can be quite comfortable. The most laid-back trading is like this! This is my personal trading philosophy, shared for free!

The above views are my personal thoughts. If anyone has different opinions, feel free to comment. If you've read this far, please give a follow and a like before you go! I will continue to update!