CHANCE OF IMPEACHMENT AT 12%. HOW THE TRUMP AND MUSK FEUD IS RATED ON POLYMARKET

On Thursday, June 5, a public feud emerged between Musk and Trump. The President of the United States began to criticize the businessman during a meeting with the Chancellor of Germany at the White House. Later, the spat moved to social media — Truth Social and X. The conflict sparked interest among Polymarket traders, and betting pools on this topic became some of the most popular.

Participants assess the probability of this at 12%.

Musk stated that Trump "figures in the Epstein case," which is why some documents related to this case have still not been made public. Participants in the forecasts estimate a 15% probability that they will be published by the end of the year.

Also, in the Trump vs Elon category, bets are being placed on whether Trump will imprison Musk (probability 5%), whether Musk will cease to be the richest person on Earth by July (11%), or whether Musk will return to the Trump administration again this year (8%).

Polymarket participants believe that the probability of Bitcoin rising to $150,000 in June is 1%, to $120,000 is 17%, and to $110,000 is 53%. The probability of falling to $100,000 is assessed at 74%, while the chances of dropping to $95,000 are 41%.