Current situation (June 6, 2025):
- Price: ~$2.95–$3.05 (USD, based on current data).
- Context: Sui is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain developed by Mysten Labs (former Meta/Diem engineers). Uses Move for smart contracts, object model for parallel transaction processing and scalability. Market capitalization: ~$8–$9 billion (rank ~10). TVL in DeFi: ~$2 billion.
Technical forecast for 2026:
- Prices:
- Optimistic: $6.62–$10 (growth of 120–240%) in a bull market and success of the ecosystem (SuiPlay, DeFi).
- Neutral: $4.50–$6.90 (growth of 50–130%).
- Pessimistic: $1.50–$2.30 in case of correction or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: $2.50–$2.80, $1.39–$1.80.
- Resistance: $3.90–$4.30, $6.60–$7.80.
- Trend: Bullish on weekly/monthly charts (50/200 MA bullish, RSI ~50–60 neutral). Possible correction after recent growth (MACD shows slowing).
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- High throughput: 7.5 billion transactions in 2024, ahead of Ethereum/Polygon.
- SuiPlay 0X1 (gaming platform) and integrations (Solana, TON, Nautilus for oracles).
- Staking: APR ~5–8%, growth of active wallets (+97%).
- Institutional demand: potential ETFs, support from VanEck ($16 forecast).
- Easing of regulations in the USA (Trump administration).
- Risks:
- Regulatory restrictions (SEC, classification as a security).
- Competition from Solana, Ethereum L2, Cardano.
- Volatility due to whales and $320 million in token unlocks in 2025.
- Technical failures or low developer activity.
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on correction to $2.50–$2.80, stop below $1.39. Target: $6.60–$10. Staking for passive income.
- Traders: Buy on breakout at $3.90, target $6.60–$7.80. Sell below $2.50, target $1.50–$1.80.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit, consider volatility.
Risks: Regulation, competition, token unlocks, BTC decline.
