Date: June 5, 2025
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📝 Technical Context of the Day
Approximate price: $101,247
BTC has experienced a significant drop towards the key support zone at $100,000, a level that has historically attracted buyers.
In the short term, recovery could be driven if the price surpasses the immediate resistance of $104,000, with potential to target the $106,000 zone and subsequently $110,000.
Macroeconomic factors, such as expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S., could lead to a rebound in risk assets like BTC.
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📌 Suggested Entry Zone
Staggered entry (Spot):
$100,500 - $101,000 (Initial entry with 50% of the allocated capital)
$99,000 - $99,500 (Add 30% if the price retraces)
$97,600 - $98,000 (Add the remaining 20% only if there is confirmation of strong support and reversal).
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🎯 Profit Targets
First target: $104,000
Second target: $106,000
Third target (aggressive): $110,000
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🛡️ Protection Level (Stop-Loss)
Initial Stop-Loss: $97,000
Protect capital against a significant drop.
It can be adjusted dynamically as BTC surpasses key resistances.
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🔑 Key Technical Confirmations
MACD: Bullish crossover in 4H timeframes.
EMA 9/21: Confirm breakout and consolidation above EMA 9 (in 4H).
RSI: Avoid overbought conditions in the 70+ zone to validate bullish momentum.
Volume: Increase in buying volume upon surpassing $104,000.
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📊 Risk Management and Execution
Maximum risk per trade: 2-3% of total capital.
Fractionalize entries to reduce the impact of volatility.
Adjust the stop-loss to break-even once the first target ($104,000) is reached.
Evaluate macroeconomic news and fundamental factors before over-leveraging or increasing exposure.
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🧐 Final Insight
The drop of BTC to $101,000 offers a strategic opportunity to build a staggered position, provided that risk is managed prudently. The current macroeconomic environment could support a gradual recovery. However, it is crucial to monitor the mentioned support and resistance levels to make agile and informed decisions.
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📝 Additional Note
⚠️ Always remember to validate your entries with technical confirmations and relevant macroeconomic news before trading. Maintain discipline in risk management and do not over-leverage. This plan is for guidance only and does not constitute a direct investment recommendation.
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